Wed 11 Nov

AZ Picerno v Bari: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
1–1
FT

Bari

DLDDW
AZ Picerno 30%Draw 24%Bari 46% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.42
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBari to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

AZ Picerno vs Bari prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

AZ Picerno host Bari in the Serie C Girone C on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. AZ Picerno sit 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Bari are 2nd on 23 (in the top four).

Form guide

AZ Picerno – form over the last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Cavese 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.

Bari – form over the last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Scafatese 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game.

On form, AZ Picerno have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Sep 2026, finished Bari 1–1 AZ Picerno.

Goals outlook

Our model projects AZ Picerno 1.1 – 1.4 Bari in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: AZ Picerno 30% · draw 24% · Bari 46%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 55%, the price implies 50%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AZ Picerno 1–1 Bari. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

AZ Picerno30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Bari46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
2.50Expected goals
1.08AZ Picerno xG
1.42Bari xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.1 – 1.4 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBari to win ✗46%2.172.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betBari (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapAZ Picerno +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreBari to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bari / FT Bari ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

AZ Picerno – last 6

WWLLLW
31 Oct@ Cavese2–1W
26 Octvs Salernitana3–0W
18 Oct@ Barletta0–1L
12 Octvs Cosenza1–2L
4 Oct@ Potenza2–4L
26 Sepvs Audace Cerignola2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bari – last 6

DLDDWL
31 Octvs Scafatese1–1D
27 Oct@ Potenza1–2L
23 Oct@ Casertana1–1D
18 Octvs Crotone0–0D
10 Octvs Giugliano2–0W
4 Oct@ Salernitana1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Bari v AZ Picerno1–1
AZ Picerno vs Bari head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Picerno vs Bari?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AZ Picerno vs Bari?

On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bari 46%.

How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Bari?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Bari?

Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is AZ Picerno vs Bari?

AZ Picerno vs Bari (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.