Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pineto to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPineto to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chancePineto or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Pineto host Vis Pesaro in the Serie C Girone B on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 20:30 WAT at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani. Pineto sit 11th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Vis Pesaro are 20th on 5 (in the bottom three). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Pineto – form over the last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Ravenna 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Vis Pesaro – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Gubbio 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, Pineto have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Pineto 1.9 – 0.7 Vis Pesaro in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Pineto 65% · draw 20% · Vis Pesaro 15%.
Safer play: Pineto or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Pineto to win at 1.80 – we make it 65%, the price implies 56%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Pineto or draw, rated at 85% confidence at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Pineto 1–0 Vis Pesaro. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Pineto65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Vis Pesaro15%fair 6.75 · @3.90
2.62Expected goals
1.88Pineto xG
0.75Vis Pesaro xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pineto 1.9 – 0.7 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pineto to win✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Pineto or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Pineto (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pineto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Pineto to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Pineto ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pineto / FT Pineto✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Pineto – last 6
LWWDLL
1 Nov
@ Ravenna
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs Gubbio
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Reggiana
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Pianese
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Grosseto
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vis Pesaro – last 6
DLLLLW
1 Nov
@ Gubbio
0–0
D
28 Oct
@ Atalanta II
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Ravenna
0–4
L
18 Oct
@ Latina
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Grosseto
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pineto and Vis Pesaro.
Our pick is Pineto or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Pineto have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vis Pesaro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Pineto 1–0 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
