Thu 12 Nov

Novara v Lecco: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Silvio Piola

Novara

LWLDL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Lecco

WWDWD
Novara 30%Draw 22%Lecco 48% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.44
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Lecco to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultLecco to win48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.10

Novara vs Lecco prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Novara host Lecco in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:30 WAT at Stadio Silvio Piola. Novara sit 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Lecco are 7th on 20 (in the top half).

Form guide

Novara – form over the last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Treviso 0–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Lecco – form over the last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Juventus U23 4–0 at home. 3.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Lecco have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Lecco 0–0 Novara.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Novara 1.1 – 1.4 Lecco in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Novara 30% · draw 22% · Lecco 48%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Lecco to win at 2.25 – we make it 48%, the price implies 44%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Novara 1–1 Lecco. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Novara30%fair 3.36 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Lecco48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
2.49Expected goals
1.06Novara xG
1.44Lecco xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: Novara 1.1 – 1.4 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLecco to win48%2.092.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.80
Draw no betLecco (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapNovara +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.141.10
First team to scoreLecco to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lecco / FT Lecco27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.10–

Recent results

Novara – last 6

LWLDLW
8 Nov@ Treviso0–2L
2 Novvs Desenzano Calvina1–0W
25 Oct@ Arzignano Valchiampo0–2L
18 Oct@ Albinoleffe2–2D
10 Octvs Cittadella0–2L
4 Oct@ Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lecco – last 6

WWDWDD
8 Novvs Juventus U234–0W
1 Nov@ Dolomiti Bellunesi4–0W
25 Octvs Folgore Caratese2–2D
16 Oct@ PRO Vercelli5–0W
11 Octvs Alcione1–1D
4 Octvs Union Brescia2–2D
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Lecco v Novara0–0
Novara vs Lecco head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novara vs Lecco?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Novara vs Lecco?

On our numbers Novara have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lecco 48%.

How many goals will there be in Novara vs Lecco?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Novara vs Lecco?

Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Novara vs Lecco?

Novara vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.