Consadole Sapporo v Sagan Tosu Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSagan Tosu to win42% · @2.03

Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.05

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

J2 League action on Sunday 15 November: Consadole Sapporo take on Sagan Tosu at Sapporo Dome from 05:00 WAT. Consadole Sapporo sit 7th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sagan Tosu are 13th on 20 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Consadole Sapporo – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vanraure Hachinohe 1–0 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 0.0 per game. 6 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Sagan Tosu – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kataller Toyama 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Consadole Sapporo have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Consadole Sapporo 1.2 – 1.3 Sagan Tosu in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Consadole Sapporo 37% · draw 21% · Sagan Tosu 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Consadole Sapporo to win at 3.06 – we make it 37%, the price implies 33%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Consadole Sapporo37%fair 2.67 · @3.06

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.34

Sagan Tosu42%fair 2.40 · @2.03

2.51Expected goals

1.21Consadole Sapporo xG

1.30Sagan Tosu xG

58%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 1.2 – 1.3 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sagan Tosu to win	42%	2.40	2.03
Double chance	Either team to win	79%	1.26	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	58%	1.74	1.73
Draw no bet	Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	Consadole Sapporo +0.5 (Asian handicap)	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.40	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	53%	1.89	1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	74%	1.35	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	87%	1.15	1.06
First team to score	Sagan Tosu to score first	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu	22%	4.50	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	8%	12.05	–

Consadole Sapporo – last 6

WWWWWW

8 Nov	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
3 Nov	@ Imabari	4–0	W
31 Oct	vs Shonan Bellmare	1–0	W
25 Oct	@ Kataller Toyama	1–0	W
21 Oct	@ Montedio Yamagata	2–0	W
17 Oct	vs Blaublitz Akita	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LWLLWL

7 Nov	vs Kataller Toyama	1–2	L
3 Nov	@ Shonan Bellmare	1–0	W
31 Oct	@ Jubilo Iwata	0–2	L
28 Oct	vs Kawasaki Frontale	0–2	L
25 Oct	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	2–0	W
21 Oct	@ Albirex Niigata	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sagan Tosu 42%.

How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Dome.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Consadole Sapporo v Sagan Tosu: numbers & prediction