Albirex Niigata v Tegevajaro Miyazaki Prediction & Expected Goals (14 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win56% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.24

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.29

Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Albirex Niigata host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 06:00 WAT at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata sit 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th on 29 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Albirex Niigata – form over the last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Imabari 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Tokushima Vortis 2–1 on the road. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Tegevajaro Miyazaki have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 2.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Albirex Niigata 1.0 – 1.7 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Albirex Niigata 24% · draw 20% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 1.95 – we make it 56%, the price implies 51%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Albirex Niigata24%fair 4.17 · @3.32

Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.28

Tegevajaro Miyazaki56%fair 1.78 · @1.95

2.70Expected goals

0.99Albirex Niigata xG

1.70Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG

57%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%

1–111%

0–210%

1–210%

0–07%

1–07%

From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.0 – 1.7 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win	56%	1.78	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win	80%	1.25	1.24
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	57%	1.77	1.75
Draw no bet	Tegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet)	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Albirex Niigata +1 (Asian handicap)	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.36	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.98	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	72%	1.39	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	86%	1.16	1.05
First team to score	Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score first	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki	33%	3.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	10%	10.29	–

Albirex Niigata – last 6

WWLWWL

7 Nov	vs Imabari	1–0	W
3 Nov	@ Ventforet Kofu	1–0	W
31 Oct	vs Kataller Toyama	2–3	L
25 Oct	vs Vegalta Sendai	2–1	W
21 Oct	vs Sagan Tosu	2–1	W
17 Oct	@ Oita Trinita	1–5	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6

WWWWWD

7 Nov	@ Tokushima Vortis	2–1	W
3 Nov	vs Tochigi City	3–0	W
31 Oct	vs Oita Trinita	2–0	W
25 Oct	@ Montedio Yamagata	2–0	W
21 Oct	vs Blaublitz Akita	2–1	W
17 Oct	vs Jubilo Iwata	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 56%.

How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Albirex Niigata v Tegevajaro Miyazaki: numbers & prediction