Fri 13 Nov

Jubilo Iwata v Shonan Bellmare: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Yamaha Stadium
1–1
FT
Jubilo Iwata 58%Draw 26%Shonan Bellmare 16% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.76
84%
ZoraTips pick

Jubilo Iwata or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Jubilo Iwata to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJubilo Iwata to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceJubilo Iwata or draw ✓84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Jubilo Iwata host Shonan Bellmare in the J2 League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 06:00 WAT at Yamaha Stadium. Jubilo Iwata sit 9th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Shonan Bellmare are 10th on 23 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Jubilo Iwata – form over the last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Fujieda MYFC 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Shonan Bellmare – form over the last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Sagan Tosu 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Jubilo Iwata have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Jubilo Iwata 1.7 – 0.8 Shonan Bellmare in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Jubilo Iwata 58% · draw 26% · Shonan Bellmare 16%.
  • Safer play: Jubilo Iwata or draw (84%) at 1.28.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Jubilo Iwata to win at 1.95 – we make it 58%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Jubilo Iwata or draw, rated at 84% confidence at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.20, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Shonan Bellmare. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Jubilo Iwata58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Shonan Bellmare16%fair 6.13 · @3.60
2.41Expected goals
1.65Jubilo Iwata xG
0.76Shonan Bellmare xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.7 – 0.8 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJubilo Iwata to win ✗58%1.721.95 ▲
Double chanceJubilo Iwata or draw ✓84%1.201.28 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.80
Draw no betJubilo Iwata (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapShonan Bellmare +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreJubilo Iwata to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Jubilo Iwata – last 6

WWDDDL
3 Nov@ Fujieda MYFC2–1W
31 Octvs Sagan Tosu2–0W
25 Oct@ Iwaki1–1D
21 Octvs Oita Trinita0–0D
17 Oct@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1D
14 Octvs Kawasaki Frontale0–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

LLWDDD
3 Novvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
31 Oct@ Consadole Sapporo0–1L
25 Octvs Tochigi City2–1W
21 Octvs Iwaki1–1D
17 Oct@ Kataller Toyama1–1D
11 Octvs Albirex Niigata1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Shonan Bellmare.

Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our pick is Jubilo Iwata or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shonan Bellmare 16%.

How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.