Wed 11 Nov

Necaxa W v Atlas W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Victoria
1–1
FT

Atlas W

LWDLW
Necaxa W 9%Draw 19%Atlas W 72% Expected goals 0.90 – 2.61
72%
ZoraTips pick

Atlas W to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtlas W to win ✗72% · @1.28
Double chanceAtlas W or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Necaxa W vs Atlas W prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Necaxa W v Atlas W in the Liga MX Femenil – Friday 6 November, 00:00 WAT, Estadio Victoria. Necaxa W sit 18th with 1 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Atlas W are 13th on 17 (in the bottom half). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Necaxa W – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna W 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game.

Atlas W – form over the last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL W 0–7 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.0 per game.

On form, Atlas W have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Mar 2026, finished Atlas W 3–2 Necaxa W.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Necaxa W 0.9 – 2.6 Atlas W in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Necaxa W 9% · draw 19% · Atlas W 72%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – we make it 59%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Atlas W to win, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Necaxa W 0–2 Atlas W. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Necaxa W9%fair 11.13 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Atlas W72%fair 1.38 · @1.28
3.51Expected goals
0.90Necaxa W xG
2.61Atlas W xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Necaxa W 0.9 – 2.6 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlas W to win ✗72%1.381.28
Double chanceAtlas W or draw ✓91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Draw no betAtlas W (draw no bet)89%1.12–
Asian handicapAtlas W -1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
First team to scoreAtlas W to score first72%1.39–
Half-time resultAtlas W ahead at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlas W / FT Atlas W ✗51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Necaxa W – last 6

LLLLLL
1 Novvs Santos Laguna W1–3L
25 Oct@ Pachuca W0–5L
21 Oct@ Guadalajara W0–7L
4 Octvs Cruz Azul W0–2L
29 Sepvs Toluca W0–4L
19 Sep@ Monterrey W0–10L
0.2Scored / game
5.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atlas W – last 6

LWDLWD
31 Octvs Tigres UANL W0–7L
27 Octvs Puebla W2–1W
23 Octvs León W1–1D
18 Oct@ Pumas UNAM W0–1L
26 Sep@ Querétaro W1–0W
20 Sep@ América W2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Atlas W v Necaxa W3–2
Necaxa W vs Atlas W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Necaxa W vs Atlas W?

Our pick is Atlas W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Necaxa W vs Atlas W?

On our numbers Necaxa W have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlas W 72%.

How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Atlas W?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Atlas W?

Our predicted score is Necaxa W 0–2 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Necaxa W vs Atlas W?

Necaxa W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.