Wed 11 Nov

Nakhon Pathom v Mahasarakham United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium
Nakhon Pathom 43%Draw 23%Mahasarakham United 34% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.07
67%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 2.47 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNakhon Pathom to win ✓43% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Thai League 2 action on Sunday 8 November: Nakhon Pathom take on Mahasarakham United at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium from 12:00 WAT. Nakhon Pathom sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Mahasarakham United are 17th on 7 (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Nakhon Pathom – form over the last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Satun 0–0 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Mahasarakham United – form over the last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Chanthaburi 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Mahasarakham United 0–2 Nakhon Pathom.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Nakhon Pathom 1.3 – 1.1 Mahasarakham United in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Nakhon Pathom 43% · draw 23% · Mahasarakham United 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
  • Value angle: Nakhon Pathom to win at 2.47 – we make it 43%, the price implies 40%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Mahasarakham United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Nakhon Pathom43%fair 2.31 · @2.47
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.96
Mahasarakham United34%fair 2.95 · @2.63
2.33Expected goals
1.26Nakhon Pathom xG
1.07Mahasarakham United xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.3 – 1.1 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNakhon Pathom to win ✓43%2.312.47 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.85
Draw no betNakhon Pathom (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapMahasarakham United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreNakhon Pathom to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Nakhon Pathom – last 6

DLLWLW
1 Nov@ Satun0–0D
24 Oct@ Uttaradit0–2L
20 Oct@ Uthai Thani0–2L
17 Octvs Nong Bua Pitchaya4–3W
14 Oct@ Chanthaburi0–3L
10 Octvs Muangthong United1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mahasarakham United – last 6

WLDDLL
30 Octvs Chanthaburi1–0W
24 Oct@ Nong Bua Pitchaya0–3L
20 Oct@ Huasamrong Gateway1–1D
18 Octvs Muangthong United0–0D
14 Oct@ Kasetsart FC1–3L
11 Octvs Uttaradit2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Mahasarakham United v Nakhon Pathom0–2
Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?

On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mahasarakham United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?

Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?

Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.