Thu 12 Nov

Sabah FA v Şamaxı FK: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Bank Respublika Arena
2–2
FT
Sabah FA 74%Draw 17%Şamaxı FK 9% Expected goals 2.32 – 0.67
74%
ZoraTips pick

Sabah FA to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSabah FA to win ✗74% · @1.22
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Sabah FA host Şamaxı FK in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT at Bank Respublika Arena. Sabah FA sit 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Şamaxı FK are 7th on 14 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Sabah FA – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Viking 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Şamaxı FK – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Neftchi Baku 2–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, Şamaxı FK have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Şamaxı FK 0–3 Sabah FA.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sabah FA 2.3 – 0.7 Şamaxı FK in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 53% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sabah FA 74% · draw 17% · Şamaxı FK 9%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 53%, the price implies 50%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Sabah FA to win, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sabah FA 2–0 Şamaxı FK. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sabah FA74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @5.00
Şamaxı FK9%fair 11.71 · @9.50
2.98Expected goals
2.32Sabah FA xG
0.67Şamaxı FK xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sabah FA 2.3 – 0.7 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSabah FA to win ✗74%1.351.22
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓91%1.091.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.00 ▲
Draw no betSabah FA (draw no bet)90%1.12–
Asian handicapSabah FA -1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.611.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreSabah FA to score first74%1.36–
Half-time resultSabah FA ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Sabah FA – last 6

LLDLWW
4 Nov@ Viking1–4L
30 Oct@ Turan2–3L
25 Octvs Qarabag0–0D
20 Octvs Borussia Dortmund1–2L
17 Oct@ Qabala4–0W
13 Octvs Slavia Praha2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Şamaxı FK – last 6

LWLWDW
1 Novvs Neftchi Baku2–3L
28 Oct@ Hypers Guba5–1W
25 Oct@ Imisli FK1–2L
16 Octvs Safa Baku3–2W
10 Oct@ Zira1–1D
20 Sepvs Araz2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Şamaxı FK v Sabah FA0–3
Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?

Our pick is Sabah FA to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?

On our numbers Sabah FA have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Şamaxı FK 9%.

How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?

Our predicted score is Sabah FA 2–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK?

Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.