Wed 11 Nov

Carrarese v Sampdoria: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio dei Marmi
0–1
FT
Carrarese 46%Draw 22%Sampdoria 31% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.11
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Carrarese to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCarrarese to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18

Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie B action on Sunday 8 November: Carrarese take on Sampdoria at Stadio dei Marmi from 17:15 WAT. Carrarese sit 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sampdoria are 15th on 11 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Carrarese – form over the last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Hellas Verona 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.

Sampdoria – form over the last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Virtus Entella 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 18 Mar 2026, finished Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Carrarese 1.4 – 1.1 Sampdoria in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Carrarese 46% · draw 22% · Sampdoria 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
  • Value angle: Carrarese to win at 2.30 – we make it 46%, the price implies 43%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Sampdoria. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Carrarese46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Sampdoria31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.43Carrarese xG
1.11Sampdoria xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Carrarese 1.4 – 1.1 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarrarese to win ✗46%2.162.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.75
Draw no betCarrarese (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapSampdoria +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreCarrarese to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carrarese / FT Carrarese ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.18–

Recent results

Carrarese – last 6

LWLWWL
1 Nov@ Hellas Verona0–3L
28 Octvs Arezzo2–1W
25 Oct@ Palermo1–2L
17 Octvs Modena2–1W
11 Oct@ Padova2–0W
19 Sepvs Benevento0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sampdoria – last 6

WLDLLW
31 Octvs Virtus Entella2–0W
27 Oct@ Ascoli0–2L
24 Oct@ Sudtirol1–1D
18 Octvs Arezzo1–2L
9 Oct@ Avellino1–4L
19 Sepvs Catanzaro2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Carrarese v Sampdoria2–0
Carrarese vs Sampdoria head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

On our numbers Carrarese have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sampdoria 31%.

How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Carrarese vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.