Wed 11 Nov

Municipal Salamanca v Colchagua: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal de Salamanca
2–3
FT
Municipal Salamanca 44%Draw 23%Colchagua 34% Expected goals 1.12 – 0.92
63%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Colchagua to win @ 3.34 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal Salamanca to win ✗44% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.32

Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Municipal Salamanca host Colchagua in the Segunda División on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca. Municipal Salamanca sit 2nd with 22 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Colchagua are 3rd on 22 (in the top four). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Municipal Salamanca – form over the last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Concón National 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Colchagua – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Trasandino 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Sep 2026, finished Colchagua 0–1 Municipal Salamanca.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Municipal Salamanca 1.1 – 0.9 Colchagua in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Municipal Salamanca 44% · draw 23% · Colchagua 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.97.
  • Value angle: Colchagua to win at 3.34 – we make it 34%, the price implies 30%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Colchagua. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Municipal Salamanca44%fair 2.28 · @2.07
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.06
Colchagua34%fair 2.98 · @3.34
2.04Expected goals
1.12Municipal Salamanca xG
0.92Colchagua xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Municipal Salamanca 1.1 – 0.9 Colchagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal Salamanca to win ✗44%2.282.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.97
Draw no betMunicipal Salamanca (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapColchagua +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.39
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.221.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.081.05
First team to scoreMunicipal Salamanca to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal Salamanca / FT Municipal Salamanca ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.32–

Recent results

Municipal Salamanca – last 6

DDWLLW
31 Oct@ Concón National0–0D
25 Octvs Santiago City2–2D
4 Octvs Linares Unido2–0W
26 Sep@ Santiago City0–1L
12 Sep@ Trasandino0–3L
6 Sepvs Provincial Osorno2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Colchagua – last 6

LWWLLL
1 Novvs Trasandino0–1L
10 Oct@ Santiago City3–2W
4 Octvs Provincial Osorno2–0W
13 Sep@ Concón National0–1L
5 Sep@ Linares Unido0–1L
1 Sepvs Municipal Salamanca0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Colchagua v Municipal Salamanca0–1
Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?

On our numbers Municipal Salamanca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchagua 34%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?

Our predicted score is Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Colchagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?

Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.