Sat 14 Nov

Alianza v FAS: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Alianza

LWLLD
Sun 15 Nov 2026

FAS

DDDLD
Alianza 33%Draw 21%FAS 46% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.51
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds
1

Value bet: Alianza to win @ 3.24 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultFAS to win46% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.02

Alianza vs FAS prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Alianza v FAS in the Primera Division – Sunday 15 November, 03:00 WAT. Alianza sit 7th with 26 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while FAS are 3rd on 34 (in the top four).

Form guide

Alianza – form over the last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

FAS – form over the last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Inter 2–2 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Alianza have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 9 Oct 2026, finished FAS 2–1 Alianza. Across the last 3 meetings Alianza have won 0s, FAS 3, with 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Alianza 1.2 – 1.5 FAS in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Alianza 33% · draw 21% · FAS 46%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.63.
  • Value angle: Alianza to win at 3.24 – we make it 33%, the price implies 31%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Alianza 1–1 FAS. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Alianza33%fair 3.06 · @3.24
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.30
FAS46%fair 2.17 · @2.01
2.73Expected goals
1.22Alianza xG
1.51FAS xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.2 – 1.5 FAS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFAS to win46%2.172.01
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.611.63
Draw no betFAS (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.941.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.08
First team to scoreFAS to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT FAS / FT FAS26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.02–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

LWLLDW
11 Nov@ Fuerte San Francisco0–1L
8 Novvs Águila3–2W
5 Nov@ Firpo0–2L
1 Nov@ Atletico Balboa0–1L
28 Octvs CD Marathon0–0D
25 Octvs Isidro Metapán1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

FAS – last 6

DDDLDL
12 Novvs Inter2–2D
9 Novvs Fuerte San Francisco2–2D
2 Nov@ Firpo1–1D
25 Oct@ Águila1–3L
22 Octvs Isidro Metapán0–0D
19 Octvs Platense2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Oct 2026FAS v Alianza2–1
12 Apr 2026Alianza v FAS0–2
15 Feb 2026FAS v Alianza3–1
Alianza vs FAS head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2Isidro Metapán201055+635
3FAS20974+1034
4Águila20875+931
5Inter206104+728
6Platense20767+227
7Alianza20686-126
8Municipal Limeño21669-124
9Atletico Balboa20659-723
10Cacahuatique20488-820
11Fuerte San Francisco213810-1517
12Inca Aruba204511-2217

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs FAS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Alianza vs FAS?

On our numbers Alianza have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FAS 46%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs FAS?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs FAS?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 FAS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs FAS?

Alianza vs FAS (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.