Fri 13 Nov

Ilkeston Town v United of Manchester: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Ilkeston Town 37%Draw 17%United of Manchester 46% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.56
66%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: Ilkeston Town to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultUnited of Manchester to win46% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.18

Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Ilkeston Town v United of Manchester in the Non League Premier Northern – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT. Ilkeston Town sit 20th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while United of Manchester are 21st on 12 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Ilkeston Town – form over the last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Curzon Ashton 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.0 per game.

United of Manchester – form over the last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Curzon Ashton 0–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ilkeston Town 1.4 – 1.6 United of Manchester in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ilkeston Town 37% · draw 17% · United of Manchester 46%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Ilkeston Town to win at 3.20 – we make it 37%, the price implies 31%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Ilkeston Town 1–1 United of Manchester. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ilkeston Town37%fair 2.71 · @3.20
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.50
United of Manchester46%fair 2.16 · @1.91
2.91Expected goals
1.35Ilkeston Town xG
1.56United of Manchester xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Ilkeston Town 1.4 – 1.6 United of Manchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnited of Manchester to win46%2.161.91
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.901.57
Draw no betUnited of Manchester (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapIlkeston Town +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.801.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.511.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.221.11
First team to scoreUnited of Manchester to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT United of Manchester / FT United of Manchester25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.18–

Recent results

Ilkeston Town – last 6

LLWWLL
10 Nov@ Curzon Ashton0–1L
7 Nov@ Leek Town2–3L
31 Octvs Hyde United1–0W
17 Octvs Avro2–0W
13 Oct@ Gainsborough Trinity1–3L
10 Octvs Redcar Athletic0–5L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

United of Manchester – last 6

LDDWLD
3 Nov@ Curzon Ashton0–1L
31 Octvs Lancaster City0–0D
27 Octvs Quorn1–1D
24 Octvs Whitby Town4–2W
20 Octvs Altrincham2–6L
17 Oct@ Altrincham0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ilkeston Town and United of Manchester.

Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Avro181026+832
6Rylands17935+730
7Workington18936+430
8Bury16925+1429
9Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
10Warrington Town17854+729
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town186111-2319
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

On our numbers Ilkeston Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 17% and United of Manchester 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Our predicted score is Ilkeston Town 1–1 United of Manchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.