Value bet: Kalamata to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Asteras Tripolis host Kalamata in the Super League 1 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Asteras Tripolis sit 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Kalamata are 8th on 12 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to PAOK 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.0 per game.
Kalamata – form over the last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Iraklis 1908 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.8 per game.
On form, Kalamata have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Asteras Tripolis 1.5 – 1.3 Kalamata in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Asteras Tripolis 44% · draw 23% · Kalamata 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Kalamata to win at 3.90 – we make it 33%, the price implies 26%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Kalamata. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Kalamata33%fair 3.02 · @3.90
2.84Expected goals
1.55Asteras Tripolis xG
1.30Kalamata xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.5 – 1.3 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Asteras Tripolis (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Kalamata +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Asteras Tripolis to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis / FT Asteras Tripolis✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
LLDLWD
1 Nov
@ PAOK
1–2
L
27 Oct
vs Kifisia
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Levadiakos
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Panathinaikos
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Atromitos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ OFI
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
DWLWWL
2 Nov
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
28 Oct
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–5
L
18 Oct
vs OFI
4–3
W
12 Oct
@ PAOK
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Panathinaikos
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalamata 33%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
