Thu 12 Nov

Hatayspor v Somaspor: numbers & prediction

2. Lig · Turkey · Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor

LLLLL
0–1
FT

Somaspor

DLDLL
Hatayspor 38%Draw 21%Somaspor 41% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.47
66%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2

Value bet: Somaspor to win @ 2.83 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSomaspor to win ✓41% · @2.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Hatayspor vs Somaspor prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

2. Lig action on Sunday 8 November: Hatayspor take on Somaspor at Mersin Stadyumu from 11:00 WAT. Hatayspor sit 17th with 0 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Somaspor are 13th on 11 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Hatayspor – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Menemen FK 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Somaspor – form over the last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Sebat Gençlikspor 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.5 Somaspor in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Hatayspor 38% · draw 21% · Somaspor 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
  • Value angle: Somaspor to win at 2.83 – we make it 41%, the price implies 35%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Hatayspor 1–1 Somaspor. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Hatayspor38%fair 2.60 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.36
Somaspor41%fair 2.45 · @2.83
2.88Expected goals
1.41Hatayspor xG
1.47Somaspor xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.5 Somaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSomaspor to win ✓41%2.452.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.55
Draw no betSomaspor (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapHatayspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.501.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.11
First team to scoreSomaspor to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Somaspor / FT Somaspor ✓23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Hatayspor – last 6

LLLLLL
1 Nov@ Menemen FK0–3L
24 Octvs Erbaaspor0–3L
17 Oct@ Şanlıurfaspor2–4L
11 Octvs Elazığspor0–3L
7 Octvs Karaköprü Belediyespor1–2L
3 Oct@ Isparta 32 Spor0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Somaspor – last 6

DLDLLL
4 Novvs Sebat Gençlikspor0–0D
1 Novvs Çorluspor 19470–2L
28 Oct@ Fatih Karagümrük0–0D
24 Oct@ Güzide Gebzespor1–4L
18 Octvs Aliağa FAŞ1–2L
11 Oct@ Adana Demirspor0–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Somaspor.

Hatayspor vs Somaspor head-to-head page →

2. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elazığspor10811+2125
2Güzide Gebzespor10730+1024
3Muş Sport Klübü10721+1623
4Aliağa FAŞ10712+522
5Çorluspor 194710622+920
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik10613+519
7Şanlıurfaspor10532+818
8Erbaaspor10514+516
9Menemen FK10424+114
10Sebat Gençlikspor10334+512
11Ankaraspor10406-412
12Isparta 32 Spor10325-511
13Somaspor10325-711
1468 Aksaray Belediyespor1023509
15Kastamonuspor10217-254
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor10019-170
17Hatayspor10118-140
18Adana Demirspor10217-130

More 2. Lig predictions

League hub
FT Adana Demirspor2 Ankaraspor3 110%6.65X23%4.55268%1.33 0.8–2.3xG 2Ankaraspor to win 68%@1.33 ✓
FT Sebat Gençlikspor6 Kastamonuspor0 172%1.17X18%5.80210%11.00 2.6–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.34 ✓
FT Ankara Demirspor1 24 Erzincanspor3 147%2.06X21%3.28232%3.02 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.56 ✓
FT Fethiyespor2 Adana 01 FK1 130%2.66X22%3.22248%2.30 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Arnavutköy Belediyespor1 Menemen FK1 118%3.58X21%3.44260%1.81 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✓
FT Çorluspor 19472 68 Aksaray Belediyespor1 162%1.74X22%3.42216%3.92 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Güzide Gebzespor4 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik3 146%2.04X22%3.18232%3.18 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT İnegölspor1 Kütahyaspor2 136%2.89X21%3.24243%2.14 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Somaspor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Somaspor?

On our numbers Hatayspor have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Somaspor 41%.

How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Somaspor?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Somaspor?

Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–1 Somaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hatayspor vs Somaspor?

Hatayspor vs Somaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.