Thu 12 Nov

Chelmsford City v Ebbsfleet United: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Melbourne Stadium
2–2
FT
Chelmsford City 22%Draw 16%Ebbsfleet United 62% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.96
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Chelmsford City host Ebbsfleet United in the National League South on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at Melbourne Stadium. Chelmsford City sit 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Ebbsfleet United are 1st on 35 (top of the table).

Form guide

Chelmsford City – form over the last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Farnborough 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

Ebbsfleet United – form over the last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Chesham United 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Chelmsford City 1.0 – 2.0 Ebbsfleet United in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Chelmsford City 22% · draw 16% · Ebbsfleet United 62%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.80 – we make it 62%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chelmsford City 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Chelmsford City22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.60
Ebbsfleet United62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
2.97Expected goals
1.01Chelmsford City xG
1.96Ebbsfleet United xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.0 – 2.0 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEbbsfleet United to win ✗62%1.601.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.62
Draw no betEbbsfleet United (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapChelmsford City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreEbbsfleet United to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultEbbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Chelmsford City – last 6

WLWWDL
7 Novvs Farnborough2–1W
2 Novvs Farnham Town0–2L
31 Oct@ AFC Totton3–1W
27 Oct@ Dover1–0W
24 Octvs Tonbridge Angels3–3D
17 Oct@ Wimborne Town0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

WWLWWD
7 Novvs Chesham United1–0W
3 Nov@ Farnborough6–0W
31 Oct@ Truro City0–3L
27 Oct@ Maidstone Utd3–1W
24 Octvs Maidenhead4–0W
20 Octvs Horsham2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet United.

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ebbsfleet United 62%.

How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.