Wed 11 Nov

Bandırmaspor v Fatih Karagümrük: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey
0–4
FT
Bandırmaspor 42%Draw 22%Fatih Karagümrük 36% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.16
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
2

Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.08 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBandırmaspor to win ✗42% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00

Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Bandırmaspor host Fatih Karagümrük in the 1. Lig on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 11:30 WAT. Bandırmaspor sit 15th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Fatih Karagümrük are 9th on 19 (in the top half).

Form guide

Bandırmaspor – form over the last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Bursaspor 0–3 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Fatih Karagümrük – form over the last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Pendikspor 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Bandırmaspor 1.3 – 1.2 Fatih Karagümrük in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Bandırmaspor 42% · draw 22% · Fatih Karagümrük 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.79.
  • Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 3.08 – we make it 36%, the price implies 32%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Bandırmaspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Bandırmaspor42%fair 2.38 · @2.13
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.08
Fatih Karagümrük36%fair 2.81 · @3.08
2.45Expected goals
1.29Bandırmaspor xG
1.16Fatih Karagümrük xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bandırmaspor 1.3 – 1.2 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBandırmaspor to win ✗42%2.382.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.79
Draw no betBandırmaspor (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapFatih Karagümrük +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreBandırmaspor to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bandırmaspor / FT Bandırmaspor ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.00–

Recent results

Bandırmaspor – last 6

LLLDWL
31 Oct@ Bursaspor0–3L
24 Octvs Iğdır FK1–2L
17 Oct@ Bodrum FK1–2L
13 Octvs Sivasspor1–1D
9 Oct@ Vanspor FK2–0W
18 Sepvs Ümraniyespor0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fatih Karagümrük – last 6

LDWLLD
31 Octvs Pendikspor0–1L
28 Octvs Somaspor0–0D
24 Oct@ Sarıyer2–0W
19 Octvs Keçiörengücü1–2L
15 Oct@ Mardin 19690–1L
11 Octvs Muğlaspor1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük.

Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

On our numbers Bandırmaspor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fatih Karagümrük 36%.

How many goals will there be in Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Our predicted score is Bandırmaspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.