Wed 11 Nov

Hartlepool v Wealdstone: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Victoria Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Hartlepool 43%Draw 21%Wealdstone 36% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.41
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Wealdstone to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultHartlepool to win43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.36

Hartlepool vs Wealdstone prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Hartlepool v Wealdstone in the National League – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, Victoria Park. Hartlepool sit 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Wealdstone are 18th on 18 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Hartlepool – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Leeds United U21 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.7 and concede 2.2 per game.

Wealdstone – form over the last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Dover 0–2 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Wealdstone have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 31 Mar 2026, finished Wealdstone 7–0 Hartlepool.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Hartlepool 1.6 – 1.4 Wealdstone in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Hartlepool 43% · draw 21% · Wealdstone 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Wealdstone to win at 3.10 – we make it 36%, the price implies 32%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–1 Wealdstone. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Hartlepool43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
Wealdstone36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
2.98Expected goals
1.57Hartlepool xG
1.41Wealdstone xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.6 – 1.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartlepool to win43%2.332.05
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.57
Draw no betHartlepool (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapWealdstone +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.761.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.17
First team to scoreHartlepool to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.36–

Recent results

Hartlepool – last 6

WLLWLL
3 Novvs Leeds United U213–1W
31 Oct@ Boreham Wood3–4L
27 Oct@ AFC Fylde1–3L
24 Octvs AFC Hornchurch2–1W
17 Octvs Marine0–2L
13 Octvs Newcastle United U211–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wealdstone – last 6

LDWLWW
7 Nov@ Dover0–2L
3 Novvs Derby County U212–2D
31 Octvs Southend3–2W
27 Octvs Solihull Moors2–3L
24 Oct@ Aldershot Town1–0W
20 Octvs Nottingham Forest U211–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026Wealdstone v Hartlepool7–0
Hartlepool vs Wealdstone head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

On our numbers Hartlepool have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wealdstone 36%.

How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Hartlepool vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.