Wed 11 Nov

Mashuk-KMV v Rodina Moskva II: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Central Stadium
3–0
FT
Mashuk-KMV 23%Draw 20%Rodina Moskva II 57% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.73
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗57% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Second League A Fall Season Gold action on Monday 9 November: Mashuk-KMV take on Rodina Moskva II at Central Stadium from 12:00 WAT. Mashuk-KMV sit 6th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Rodina Moskva II are 2nd on 31 (in the top four).

Form guide

Mashuk-KMV – form over the last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Novosibirsk 1–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.

Rodina Moskva II – form over the last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Kirov 1–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, finished Rodina Moskva II 3–1 Mashuk-KMV. Across the last 3 meetings Mashuk-KMV have won 0s, Rodina Moskva II 1, with 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mashuk-KMV 1.0 – 1.7 Rodina Moskva II in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Mashuk-KMV 23% · draw 20% · Rodina Moskva II 57%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.51.
  • Value angle: Rodina Moskva II to win at 1.89 – we make it 57%, the price implies 53%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Mashuk-KMV 0–1 Rodina Moskva II. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mashuk-KMV23%fair 4.31 · @3.36
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.38
Rodina Moskva II57%fair 1.75 · @1.89
2.70Expected goals
0.97Mashuk-KMV xG
1.73Rodina Moskva II xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.0 – 1.7 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva II to win ✗57%1.751.89 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.51
Draw no betRodina Moskva II (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapMashuk-KMV +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.15
First team to scoreRodina Moskva II to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗34%2.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Mashuk-KMV – last 6

DDDDDD
31 Oct@ Novosibirsk1–1D
24 Octvs Dinamo Vladivostok2–2D
18 Oct@ Alaniya Vladikavkaz3–3D
10 Oct@ Kaluga0–0D
4 Octvs Dinamo Kirov1–1D
27 Sep@ FK Sokol Saratov0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

DLDWWL
31 Octvs Dinamo Kirov1–1D
24 Oct@ FK Sokol Saratov0–3L
18 Octvs Volgar Astrakhan1–1D
11 Oct@ Dinamo Bryansk3–2W
4 Octvs Kaluga3–0W
27 Sepvs Novosibirsk1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Sep 2026Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV3–1
23 May 2026Mashuk-KMV v Rodina Moskva II2–2
4 Apr 2026Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV0–0
Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva II 57%.

How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 0–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.