Value bet: Chernihiv to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultChernihiv to win41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.12
Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Chernihiv host Lokomotiv Kyiv in the Persha Liga on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 11:30 WAT at Chernihiv Arena. Chernihiv sit 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th on 20 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chernihiv – form over the last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Yarud Mariupol' 3–1 at home. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Lokomotiv Kyiv – form over the last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Metal Kharkiv 2–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 25 Jul 2026, finished Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Chernihiv.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Chernihiv 1.5 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Kyiv in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Chernihiv 41% · draw 23% · Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Chernihiv to win at 2.70 – we make it 41%, the price implies 37%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Chernihiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Chernihiv41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.65
Lokomotiv Kyiv37%fair 2.74 · @2.29
2.82Expected goals
1.53Chernihiv xG
1.29Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chernihiv 1.5 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Attack vs Persha Liga average
+1%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.24
Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
On our numbers Chernihiv have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Chernihiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Chernihiv Arena.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
