Wed 11 Nov

Llantwit Major v Cardiff Draconians: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Llantwit Major 21%Draw 15%Cardiff Draconians 64% Expected goals 1.10 – 2.15
64%
ZoraTips pick

Cardiff Draconians to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultCardiff Draconians to win64% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.15

Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Llantwit Major host Cardiff Draconians in the FAW Championship on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 15:00 WAT. Llantwit Major sit 15th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Cardiff Draconians are 14th on 12 (in the bottom three). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Llantwit Major – form over the last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Trethomas Bluebirds 2–2 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 2.3 per game.

Cardiff Draconians – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Swansea University 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Llantwit Major 1.1 – 2.2 Cardiff Draconians in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 62% for over 2.5 goals, 54% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Llantwit Major 21% · draw 15% · Cardiff Draconians 64%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Cardiff Draconians to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.56, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Llantwit Major21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Draw15%fair 6.68 · @4.00
Cardiff Draconians64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
3.25Expected goals
1.10Llantwit Major xG
2.15Cardiff Draconians xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Llantwit Major 1.1 – 2.2 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCardiff Draconians to win64%1.561.73 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.85–
Draw no betCardiff Draconians (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians -0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.611.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.30–
First team to scoreCardiff Draconians to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultCardiff Draconians ahead at half-time46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.15–

Recent results

Llantwit Major – last 6

DLWLDL
7 Nov@ Trethomas Bluebirds2–2D
31 Octvs Newport City2–3L
23 Oct@ Caerau (Ely)2–0W
17 Oct@ Trefelin1–4L
10 Octvs Pontardawe Town1–1D
6 Oct@ Pontypridd Town1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cardiff Draconians – last 6

LWLWDD
7 Nov@ Swansea University0–2L
31 Octvs Afan Lido2–0W
23 Oct@ Trethomas Bluebirds1–3L
17 Oct@ Radnor Valley3–1W
10 Octvs Carmarthen Town2–2D
3 Octvs Newport City1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Llantwit Major and Cardiff Draconians.

Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our pick is Cardiff Draconians to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?

On our numbers Llantwit Major have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cardiff Draconians 64%.

How many goals will there be in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our predicted score is Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?

Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.