Wed 11 Nov

FC UFA v Spartak Kostroma: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · BetBoom Arena

FC UFA

LDLWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026
FC UFA 43%Draw 23%Spartak Kostroma 34% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.05
65%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultFC UFA to win43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.38

FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

First League action on Saturday 14 November: FC UFA take on Spartak Kostroma at BetBoom Arena from 00:00 WAT. FC UFA sit 8th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Spartak Kostroma are 6th on 28 (in the top half).

Form guide

FC UFA – form over the last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Spartak Kostroma – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Nizhny Novgorod 0–4 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 Aug 2026, finished Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC UFA 1.2 – 1.1 Spartak Kostroma in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC UFA 43% · draw 23% · Spartak Kostroma 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.97.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – we make it 54%, the price implies 51%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC UFA 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC UFA43%fair 2.33 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.08
Spartak Kostroma34%fair 2.91 · @3.02
2.27Expected goals
1.22FC UFA xG
1.05Spartak Kostroma xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: FC UFA 1.2 – 1.1 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC UFA to win43%2.332.32
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.291.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.851.97 ▲
Draw no betFC UFA (draw no bet)55%1.80–
Asian handicapSpartak Kostroma +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.671.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.261.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.02
First team to scoreFC UFA to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC UFA / FT FC UFA23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.38–

Recent results

FC UFA – last 6

LDLWLD
7 Nov@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–2L
1 Nov@ Rotor Volgograd0–0D
24 Octvs Nizhny Novgorod0–1L
17 Octvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
11 Oct@ FC Sochi0–1L
27 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

LLDLWW
8 Novvs Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
3 Novvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya2–3L
30 Oct@ Veles1–1D
26 Oct@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–2L
17 Octvs Leningradets2–0W
13 Octvs Chelyabinsk1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA1–1
FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

On our numbers FC UFA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Kostroma 34%.

How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.