It is Famalicao v Arouca in the Primeira Liga – Friday 6 November, 21:45 WAT, Estadio Municipal de Famalicao. Famalicao sit 10th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Arouca are 5th on 20 (in the top half).
Form guide
Famalicao – form over the last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to SC Braga 0–3 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 1.7 per game.
Arouca – form over the last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Nacional 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Arouca have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Jul 2026, finished Famalicao 0–0 Arouca. Across the last 2 meetings Famalicao have won 1, Arouca 0, with 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Famalicao 1.3 – 1.1 Arouca in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Famalicao 43% · draw 22% · Arouca 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Famalicao 1–1 Arouca. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Famalicao43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Arouca35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.28Famalicao xG
1.13Arouca xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.3 – 1.1 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Famalicao vs Arouca?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arouca 35%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs Arouca?
Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
