FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 15:30 WAT at Mewa Arena. FSV Mainz 05 sit 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Bayern München are 1st on 21 (top of the table).
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05 – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to SV Elversberg 1–4 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 2.2 per game.
Bayern München – form over the last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Atletico Madrid 2–0 on the road. They are averaging 3.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Bayern München have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects FSV Mainz 05 1.3 – 2.9 Bayern München in expected goals – roughly 4.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: FSV Mainz 05 13% · draw 17% · Bayern München 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Bayern München. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 0513%fair 7.61 · @8.00
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @6.25
Bayern München70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
4.14Expected goals
1.26FSV Mainz 05 xG
2.88Bayern München xG
64%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 1.3 – 2.9 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
First team to score
Bayern München to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
LLLWLW
30 Oct
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
27 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ FC Schalke 04
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–4
L
3 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
WDWWDW
3 Nov
@ Atletico Madrid
2–0
W
31 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
6–1
W
25 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
3–1
W
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
6–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bayern München 70%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
