National 1 action on Thursday 19 November: Amiens take on Caen at Stade de la Licorne from 20:45 WAT. Amiens sit 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Caen are 3rd on 22 (in the top four). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Amiens – form over the last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat OM Cambrai 3–0 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Caen – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Choisy au Bac 2–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Amiens 1.5 – 1.0 Caen in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Amiens 46% · draw 25% · Caen 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Amiens 1–0 Caen. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Amiens46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.25
Caen30%fair 3.37 · @2.90
2.45Expected goals
1.47Amiens xG
0.99Caen xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.5 – 1.0 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Amiens
Caen
Attack vs National 1 average
+8%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.52
0.85
Our own ratings from every National 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win
46%
2.18
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Caen +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Amiens to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Amiens – last 6
WWDDWD
14 Nov
@ OM Cambrai
3–0
W
7 Nov
@ Aubagne
2–0
W
29 Oct
vs Thionville Lusitanos
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Valenciennes
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
WWDWLW
14 Nov
@ Choisy au Bac
2–0
W
7 Nov
vs Versailles
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs La Roche VF
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Fleury 91
2–3
L
24 Sep
vs Rouen
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Caen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Amiens vs Caen?
On our numbers Amiens have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Caen 30%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Caen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–0 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Caen?
Amiens vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
