Fri 13 Nov

Mijas Las Lagunas v Estepona: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026
Mijas Las Lagunas 39%Draw 21%Estepona 39% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.51
66%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: Mijas Las Lagunas to win @ 2.77 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultEstepona to win39% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.89

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Mijas Las Lagunas host Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 17:00 WAT. Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Estepona are 8th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Mijas Las Lagunas – form over the last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Real Jaén 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Estepona – form over the last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Tamaraceite 5–0 at home. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mijas Las Lagunas 1.5 – 1.5 Estepona in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Mijas Las Lagunas 39% · draw 21% · Estepona 39%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.58.
  • Value angle: Mijas Las Lagunas to win at 2.77 – we make it 39%, the price implies 36%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Estepona. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mijas Las Lagunas39%fair 2.54 · @2.77
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.24
Estepona39%fair 2.54 · @2.23
3.01Expected goals
1.50Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.51Estepona xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.5 – 1.5 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstepona to win39%2.542.23
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.58
Draw no betEstepona (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapMijas Las Lagunas +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.801.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.521.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.12
First team to scoreEstepona to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estepona / FT Estepona22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.89–

Recent results

Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6

LDDDWW
10 Novvs Real Jaén1–2L
7 Nov@ Recreativo Huelva1–1D
1 Nov@ Marbella0–0D
24 Octvs Real Betis II1–1D
18 Oct@ Tenerife II3–1W
11 Octvs Sevilla Atletico3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Estepona – last 6

WLDDWW
8 Novvs Tamaraceite5–0W
1 Nov@ Antoniano1–4L
24 Octvs Ciudad de Lucena2–2D
18 Oct@ Marbella0–0D
11 Octvs Atlético Central3–2W
3 Octvs Don Benito3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Estepona.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Recreativo Huelva10631+1321
2Don Benito10622+520
3Ciudad de Lucena10541+719
4Badajoz10451+317
5Real Betis II9432+515
6Xerez10433+515
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361+415
8Estepona10433+315
9Atlético Central10505-215
10Sevilla Atletico10352+214
11Linares Deportivo10352014
12Puente Genil10334+112
13Sanluqueño10244-310
14Tenerife II9315-310
15Marbella10244-310
16Antoniano10136-96
17Tamaraceite10208-156
18Las Palmas II10127-135

More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona?

On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Estepona 39%.

How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona?

Our predicted score is Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona?

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.