Thu 12 Nov

Beroe v Pirin Blagoevgrad: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

LWLLW
3–3
FT
Beroe 73%Draw 20%Pirin Blagoevgrad 7% Expected goals 2.34 – 0.68
62%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.27 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBeroe to win ✗73% · @1.14
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.27
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Beroe host Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Second League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 15:30 WAT at Stadion Beroe. Beroe sit 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th on 2 (in the bottom three). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Beroe – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

Pirin Blagoevgrad – form over the last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Beroe have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Beroe 2.3 – 0.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Beroe 73% · draw 20% · Pirin Blagoevgrad 7%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.27.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.27 – we make it 52%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Beroe 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Beroe73%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.65
Pirin Blagoevgrad7%fair 13.93 · @15.00
3.02Expected goals
2.34Beroe xG
0.68Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Beroe 2.3 – 0.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeroe to win ✗73%1.381.14
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.27 ▲
Draw no betBeroe (draw no bet)91%1.10–
Asian handicapBeroe -1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.611.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.261.17
First team to scoreBeroe to score first74%1.36–
Half-time resultBeroe ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beroe / FT Beroe ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.00–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

LWLLWW
30 Oct@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0–2L
23 Octvs Rilski Sportist3–1W
17 Octvs Ludogorets0–3L
10 Oct@ Marek2–3L
4 Oct@ FK Minyor Pernik2–1W
27 Sepvs Yantra 20191–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6

LLLDDL
30 Octvs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0–2L
23 Oct@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0–2L
17 Octvs Hebar 19181–4L
10 Octvs Spartak Pleven1–1D
4 Oct@ Lokomotiv Mezdra2–2D
26 Sep@ Rilski Sportist0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Pirin Blagoevgrad.

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

On our numbers Beroe have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 7%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Our predicted score is Beroe 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.