Value bet: Real Murcia to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Real Murcia vs Algeciras prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Real Murcia v Algeciras in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 – Sunday 8 November, 20:30 WAT, Estadio Enrique Roca. Real Murcia sit 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Algeciras are 13th on 14 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Murcia – form over the last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Antequera 1–0 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Algeciras – form over the last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Real Jaén 2–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Real Murcia 1.8 – 0.7 Algeciras in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Real Murcia 64% · draw 23% · Algeciras 14%.
Safer play: Real Murcia or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Real Murcia to win at 1.70 – we make it 64%, the price implies 59%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Real Murcia 1–0 Algeciras. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Real Murcia64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Algeciras14%fair 7.39 · @4.10
2.50Expected goals
1.81Real Murcia xG
0.70Algeciras xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.8 – 0.7 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.67
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Real Murcia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 6
WLDWLW
1 Nov
@ Antequera
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Zaragoza
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ FC Cartagena
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
LWWLWW
2 Nov
@ Real Jaén
2–3
L
25 Oct
vs Real Madrid II
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Hércules
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Europa Fc
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Algeciras?
Real Murcia vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
