Thu 12 Nov

Ponferradina v Cacereño: numbers & prediction

Fri 13 Nov 2026
Ponferradina 57%Draw 26%Cacereño 17% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.55
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPonferradina to win57% · @1.85
Double chancePonferradina or draw83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.88

Ponferradina vs Cacereño prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Ponferradina host Cacereño in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Friday 13 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT. Ponferradina sit 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cacereño are 10th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Ponferradina – form over the last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Cultural Leonesa 1–1 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Cacereño – form over the last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Lugo 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Cacereño 0–0 Ponferradina.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ponferradina 1.3 – 0.5 Cacereño in expected goals – roughly 1.8 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ponferradina 57% · draw 26% · Cacereño 17%.
  • Safer play: Ponferradina or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.62.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ponferradina 1–0 Cacereño. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ponferradina57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Cacereño17%fair 5.72 · @3.90
1.85Expected goals
1.30Ponferradina xG
0.55Cacereño xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ponferradina 1.3 – 0.5 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPonferradina to win57%1.761.85 ▲
Double chancePonferradina or draw83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.811.62
Draw no betPonferradina (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapCacereño +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.701.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals67%1.491.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.191.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals93%1.081.05
First team to scorePonferradina to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ponferradina / FT Ponferradina32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021%4.88–

Recent results

Ponferradina – last 6

DDDDDL
8 Nov@ Cultural Leonesa1–1D
31 Oct@ Racing Ferrol0–0D
27 Oct@ Llanera1–1D
24 Octvs Barakaldo0–0D
17 Oct@ Zamora1–1D
11 Octvs Real Avilés0–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Cacereño – last 6

LLWLDL
6 Novvs Lugo0–1L
31 Oct@ Athletic Club II1–3L
24 Octvs Zamora1–0W
18 Oct@ Pontevedra0–1L
10 Octvs Unionistas de Salamanca1–1D
4 Oct@ Mérida AD0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Cacereño v Ponferradina0–0
Ponferradina vs Cacereño head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ponferradina vs Cacereño?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Cacereño?

On our numbers Ponferradina have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cacereño 17%.

How many goals will there be in Ponferradina vs Cacereño?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ponferradina vs Cacereño?

Our predicted score is Ponferradina 1–0 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Ponferradina vs Cacereño?

Ponferradina vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.