Deportivo La Coruña II 37%Draw 22%Barakaldo 41%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.26
75%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Barakaldo to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.27
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Deportivo La Coruña II host Barakaldo in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 18:45 WAT at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo. Deportivo La Coruña II sit 18th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Barakaldo are 12th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Deportivo La Coruña II – form over the last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Arenas Getxo 1–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Barakaldo – form over the last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Real Unión 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Barakaldo have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Deportivo La Coruña II 1.2 – 1.3 Barakaldo in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Deportivo La Coruña II 37% · draw 22% · Barakaldo 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Barakaldo to win at 2.62 – we make it 41%, the price implies 38%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Barakaldo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Deportivo La Coruña II37%fair 2.67 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Barakaldo41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
2.46Expected goals
1.19Deportivo La Coruña II xG
1.26Barakaldo xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.2 – 1.3 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruña II +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Nov
@ Arenas Getxo
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ Zamora
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Lugo
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barakaldo – last 6
WDDWLD
7 Nov
vs Real Unión
2–0
W
1 Nov
vs Pontevedra
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Mirandes
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barakaldo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
