Thu 12 Nov

Mérida AD v Athletic Club II: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Romano Jose Fouto

Mérida AD

LDWWW
2–0
FT

Athletic Club II

WLLDL
Mérida AD 40%Draw 22%Athletic Club II 38% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.37
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMérida AD to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera División RFEF Group 1 action on Sunday 8 November: Mérida AD take on Athletic Club II at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto from 18:15 WAT. Mérida AD sit 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Athletic Club II are 9th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Mérida AD – form over the last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Lugo 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Athletic Club II – form over the last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Cacereño 3–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Mérida AD have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Athletic Club II 1–1 Mérida AD.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Mérida AD 40% · draw 22% · Athletic Club II 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mérida AD40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Athletic Club II38%fair 2.66 · @2.62
2.79Expected goals
1.43Mérida AD xG
1.37Athletic Club II xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMérida AD to win ✓40%2.482.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.80
Draw no betMérida AD (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapAthletic Club II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreMérida AD to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD ✓23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Mérida AD – last 6

LDWWWL
1 Nov@ Lugo1–2L
25 Octvs CD Coria0–0D
18 Oct@ Arenas Getxo4–0W
11 Oct@ Pontevedra2–1W
4 Octvs Cacereño2–0W
27 Sepvs UD Logroñés3–5L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Athletic Club II – last 6

WLLDLW
31 Octvs Cacereño3–1W
24 Oct@ Unionistas de Salamanca1–2L
18 Oct@ CD Coria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Unión0–0D
4 Octvs Extremadura 19241–3L
26 Sep@ Arenas Getxo3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Athletic Club II v Mérida AD1–1
Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Arenas Getxo2 Deportivo La Coruña II1 144%2.15X21%3.40235%2.88 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Cultural Leonesa1 Ponferradina1 146%2.05X23%3.00232%3.40 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓
FT Mirandes0 CD Coria2 161%1.57X23%3.60216%5.25 1.8–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

On our numbers Mérida AD have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Our predicted score is Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.