Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSevilla to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSevilla or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Sevilla vs Alaves prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Sevilla host Alaves in the La Liga on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT. Sevilla sit 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Alaves are 12th on 13 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sevilla – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Getafe 1–3 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 2.2 per game.
Alaves – form over the last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Barcelona 1–6 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
On form, Sevilla have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Sevilla 1.8 – 0.9 Alaves in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Sevilla 61% · draw 20% · Alaves 19%.
Safer play: Sevilla or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 1.85 – we make it 61%, the price implies 54%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Sevilla or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sevilla 1–0 Alaves. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Sevilla61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
Alaves19%fair 5.19 · @4.50
2.68Expected goals
1.80Sevilla xG
0.87Alaves xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.8 – 0.9 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sevilla or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sevilla (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Alaves +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Sevilla to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sevilla ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Sevilla – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Nov
@ Getafe
1–3
L
29 Oct
@ Hortaleza
3–0
W
26 Oct
vs Osasuna
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
12 Oct
@ Levante
3–3
D
2 Oct
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alaves – last 6
LDLLDL
31 Oct
@ Barcelona
1–6
L
23 Oct
vs Malaga
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Athletic Club
0–0
D
15 Sep
vs Valencia
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Alaves.
Our pick is Sevilla or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sevilla vs Alaves?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alaves 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Alaves?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–0 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Alaves?
Sevilla vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
