Girona v Almeria Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGirona to win ✗48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Girona vs Almeria prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Segunda División action on Sunday 8 November: Girona take on Almeria at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi from 16:15 WAT. Girona sit 8th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Almeria are 1st on 29 (top of the table).

Form guide

Girona – form over the last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Real Sociedad II 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Almeria – form over the last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Eibar 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Girona 1.6 – 1.2 Almeria in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Girona 48% · draw 21% · Almeria 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Almeria to win at 3.70 – we make it 31%, the price implies 27%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Girona 1–1 Almeria. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Girona48%fair 2.08 · @2.00

Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40

Almeria31%fair 3.27 · @3.70

2.77Expected goals

1.58Girona xG

1.19Almeria xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

2–08%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Girona 1.6 – 1.2 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Girona to win ✗	48%	2.08	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.67
Draw no bet	Girona (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Almeria +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Girona to score first ✗	53%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Girona / FT Girona ✗	28%	3.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.75	–

Girona – last 6

LWWWDD

31 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	0–1	L
27 Oct	@ Cuarte	2–0	W
24 Oct	vs Celta de Vigo II	5–1	W
18 Oct	vs FC Andorra	2–0	W
12 Oct	@ Tenerife	1–1	D
4 Oct	vs Mallorca	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Almeria – last 6

DDDWWW

31 Oct	@ Eibar	1–1	D
27 Oct	@ Castellonense	0–0	D
24 Oct	vs Oviedo	2–2	D
17 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	4–2	W
11 Oct	vs Leganes	3–0	W
3 Oct	vs Burgos	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Almeria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Girona vs Almeria?

On our numbers Girona have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almeria 31%.

How many goals will there be in Girona vs Almeria?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Almeria?

Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Girona vs Almeria?

Girona vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Girona v Almeria: numbers & prediction