Geoje Citizen v Geumsan Insam: numbers & prediction

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Geoje Citizen v Geumsan Insam in the – Sunday 8 November, 06:00 WAT.

Form guide

Geoje Citizen – form over the last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Gijang United 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Geumsan Insam – form over the last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Sejong SA 2–2 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Geoje Citizen have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Geoje Citizen 2.0 – 0.9 Geumsan Insam in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Geoje Citizen 63% · draw 21% · Geumsan Insam 16%.
• Safer play: Geoje Citizen or draw (84%) at 1.19.
• Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Geoje Citizen to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.59, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Geoje Citizen 2–0 Geumsan Insam. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.