Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Picks by market
ResultJarosław to win ✗65% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.39
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
III Liga Group 4 action on Sunday 8 November: Busko-Zdroj take on Jarosław from 13:00 WAT. Busko-Zdroj sit 13th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Jarosław are 12th on 18 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Busko-Zdroj – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Chełmianka Chełm 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 3.0 per game.
Jarosław – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Czarni Połaniec 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Busko-Zdroj 1.2 – 2.4 Jarosław in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 68% for over 2.5 goals, 68% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Busko-Zdroj 20% · draw 15% · Jarosław 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.39.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Jarosław to win, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.54, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Busko-Zdroj 1–2 Jarosław. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Busko-Zdroj20%fair 4.97 · @3.82
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @3.98
Jarosław65%fair 1.54 · @1.64
3.60Expected goals
1.22Busko-Zdroj xG
2.38Jarosław xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Busko-Zdroj 1.2 – 2.4 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarosław to win✗
65%
1.54
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.39
Draw no bet
Jarosław (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Jarosław -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.72
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.27
First team to score
Jarosław to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Jarosław ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarosław / FT Jarosław✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
LLLLWL
31 Oct
vs Chełmianka Chełm
0–3
L
24 Oct
@ Czarni Połaniec
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Hetman Zamosc
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ KSZO 1929
0–5
L
4 Oct
vs Wisła Kraków II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Naprzód
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jarosław – last 6
DLLLLD
31 Oct
vs Czarni Połaniec
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs KSZO 1929
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Wisła Kraków II
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Naprzód
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Moravia Morawica
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busko-Zdroj and Jarosław.
What is the prediction for Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Jarosław to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Busko-Zdroj have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Jarosław 65%.
How many goals will there be in Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Busko-Zdroj 1–2 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław?
Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
