Ards 64%Draw 19%Moyola Park 17%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.90
83%
ZoraTips pick
Ards or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ards to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArds to win64% · @1.80
Double chanceArds or draw83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.09
Ards vs Moyola Park prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Ards v Moyola Park in the Championship – Friday 13 November, 20:45 WAT. Ards sit 11th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Moyola Park are 13th on 15 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Ards – form over the last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to H&W Welders 0–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Moyola Park – form over the last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Newry City AFC 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.8 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, finished Moyola Park 0–0 Ards.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Ards 2.0 – 0.9 Moyola Park in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Ards 64% · draw 19% · Moyola Park 17%.
Safer play: Ards or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Ards to win at 1.80 – we make it 64%, the price implies 56%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Ards or draw, rated at 83% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ards 1–0 Moyola Park. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Ards64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.60
Moyola Park17%fair 5.81 · @3.60
2.90Expected goals
2.00Ards xG
0.90Moyola Park xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ards 2.0 – 0.9 Moyola Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ards or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ards vs Moyola Park?
On our numbers Ards have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moyola Park 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ards vs Moyola Park?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ards vs Moyola Park?
Our predicted score is Ards 1–0 Moyola Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ards vs Moyola Park?
Ards vs Moyola Park (Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
