Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Milton Keynes Dons to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win66% · @1.67
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.28
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Milton Keynes Dons host Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Stadium MK. Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Burton Albion are 15th on 17 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Milton Keynes Dons – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Bromley 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Burton Albion – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Notts County 0–3 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Milton Keynes Dons have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Milton Keynes Dons 2.1 – 0.8 Burton Albion in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Milton Keynes Dons 66% · draw 23% · Burton Albion 11%.
Safer play: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Milton Keynes Dons to win at 1.67 – we make it 66%, the price implies 60%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Burton Albion. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Milton Keynes Dons66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Burton Albion11%fair 8.97 · @4.50
2.97Expected goals
2.14Milton Keynes Dons xG
0.82Burton Albion xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 2.1 – 0.8 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milton Keynes Dons to win
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Milton Keynes Dons (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Milton Keynes Dons -0.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Milton Keynes Dons to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Milton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
WWWWWL
10 Nov
@ Bromley
2–1
W
7 Nov
vs Swindon Town
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Doncaster
6–1
W
27 Oct
vs Bromley
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Stevenage
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Blackpool
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
LWLWDD
10 Nov
vs Notts County
0–3
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4–0
W
31 Oct
@ Wycombe
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Leyton Orient
2–1
W
20 Oct
vs Bradford
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Peterborough
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burton Albion 11%.
How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
