Wed 11 Nov

Wrexham v Middlesbrough: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Racecourse Ground

Wrexham

LLWLD
2–0
FT
Wrexham 14%Draw 24%Middlesbrough 63% Expected goals 0.95 – 2.13
80%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Wrexham v Middlesbrough in the Championship – Wednesday 4 November, 20:45 WAT, Racecourse Ground. Wrexham sit 15th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough are 2nd on 29 (in the top four).

Form guide

Wrexham – form over the last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Sheffield Utd 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

Middlesbrough – form over the last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Charlton 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Middlesbrough have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 7 Aug 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham. Across the last 2 meetings Wrexham have won 0s, Middlesbrough 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Wrexham 0.9 – 2.1 Middlesbrough in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Wrexham 14% · draw 24% · Middlesbrough 63%.
  • Safer play: Middlesbrough or draw (86%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Wrexham14%fair 7.30 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.00
Middlesbrough63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
0.95Wrexham xG
2.13Middlesbrough xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Wrexham 0.9 – 2.1 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✗63%1.601.67
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✗86%1.161.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapMiddlesbrough -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Wrexham – last 6

LLWLDW
30 Oct@ Sheffield Utd0–1L
24 Oct@ Blackburn0–2L
17 Octvs Preston4–1W
13 Octvs West Brom1–2L
10 Oct@ Derby1–1D
19 Sepvs Southampton2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough – last 6

WWDWWD
31 Octvs Charlton3–0W
23 Oct@ Bolton5–1W
17 Octvs Cardiff2–2D
13 Oct@ Stoke City3–2W
10 Octvs Wolves1–0W
19 Sep@ Birmingham2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Middlesbrough v Wrexham1–0
2 May 2026Wrexham v Middlesbrough2–2
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

On our numbers Wrexham have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Middlesbrough 63%.

How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Our predicted score is Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.