Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg: numbers & prediction

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Bundesliga action on Sunday 8 November: Sturm Graz take on Red Bull Salzburg at Merkur-Arena from 17:00 WAT. Sturm Graz sit 5th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd on 30 (in the top four).

Form guide

Sturm Graz – form over the last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Celje 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Red Bull Salzburg – form over the last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Anderlecht 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Red Bull Salzburg have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, finished Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz. Across the last 2 meetings Sturm Graz have won 0s, Red Bull Salzburg 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sturm Graz 1.5 – 1.7 Red Bull Salzburg in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Sturm Graz 35% · draw 19% · Red Bull Salzburg 46%.
• Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.