Thu 12 Nov

Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena
2–0
FT
Krylia Sovetov 38%Draw 21%FC Orenburg 41% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.30
73%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: FC Orenburg to win @ 2.81 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Orenburg to win ✗41% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Premier League action on Sunday 8 November: Krylia Sovetov take on FC Orenburg at Samara Arena from 12:00 WAT. Krylia Sovetov sit 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while FC Orenburg are 10th on 17 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Krylia Sovetov – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.

FC Orenburg – form over the last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with CSKA Moscow 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, FC Orenburg have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished FC Orenburg 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Across the last 2 meetings Krylia Sovetov have won 1, FC Orenburg 1, with 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Krylia Sovetov 1.2 – 1.3 FC Orenburg in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Krylia Sovetov 38% · draw 21% · FC Orenburg 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.71.
  • Value angle: FC Orenburg to win at 2.81 – we make it 41%, the price implies 36%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov38%fair 2.62 · @2.51
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.48
FC Orenburg41%fair 2.46 · @2.81
2.54Expected goals
1.24Krylia Sovetov xG
1.30FC Orenburg xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.2 – 1.3 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Orenburg to win ✗41%2.462.81 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.71
Draw no betFC Orenburg (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.07
First team to scoreFC Orenburg to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Orenburg / FT FC Orenburg ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.12–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LWWLLD
2 Novvs Zenit0–3L
29 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala2–0W
24 Oct@ Rubin2–0W
17 Octvs Fakel1–2L
14 Octvs Baltika0–2L
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

DWWDWW
1 Novvs CSKA Moscow0–0D
28 Octvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
23 Oct@ Akhmat1–0W
19 Oct@ Rodina Moskva2–2D
15 Oct@ Rubin4–1W
10 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026FC Orenburg v Krylia Sovetov1–0
4 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg2–0
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Orenburg 41%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.