Sun 15 Nov

Xelajú v Guastatoya: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelajú

WWDWL
4–0
FT
Xelajú 68%Draw 21%Guastatoya 11% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.67
68%
ZoraTips pick

Xelajú to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultXelajú to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Xelajú vs Guastatoya prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Xelajú v Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional – Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT, Estadio Mario Camposeco. Xelajú sit 1st with 39 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Guastatoya are 7th on 31 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Xelajú – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Cobán Imperial 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Guastatoya – form over the last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Suchitepéquez 4–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Xelajú have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 14 Sep 2026, finished Guastatoya 2–1 Xelajú. Across the last 2 meetings Xelajú have won 0s, Guastatoya 1, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Xelajú 2.0 – 0.7 Guastatoya in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Xelajú 68% · draw 21% · Guastatoya 11%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.96.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Xelajú to win, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Xelajú68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Guastatoya11%fair 9.20 · @6.60
2.65Expected goals
1.98Xelajú xG
0.67Guastatoya xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Xelajú 2.0 – 0.7 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXelajú to win ✓68%1.481.44
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓89%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.96
Draw no betXelajú (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapXelajú -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.05
First team to scoreXelajú to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultXelajú ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Xelajú – last 6

WWDWLW
8 Nov@ Cobán Imperial1–0W
3 Novvs Marquense2–0W
29 Oct@ Mixco0–0D
24 Octvs Municipal1–0W
20 Oct@ Antigua GFC0–3L
15 Octvs Malacateco2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Guastatoya – last 6

WLDLDD
7 Novvs Suchitepéquez4–0W
2 Novvs Cobán Imperial1–2L
30 Oct@ Marquense0–0D
25 Octvs Mixco1–3L
19 Oct@ Municipal1–1D
15 Octvs Antigua GFC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Sep 2026Guastatoya v Xelajú2–1
29 Mar 2026Xelajú v Guastatoya1–1
Xelajú vs Guastatoya head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Our pick is Xelajú to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

On our numbers Xelajú have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guastatoya 11%.

How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Xelajú vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.