Value bet: Aurora to win @ 1.92 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAurora to win60% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.06
Aurora vs Mixco prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Aurora v Mixco in the Liga Nacional – Thursday 12 November, 23:00 WAT, Estadio Guillermo Slowing. Aurora sit 11th with 20 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Mixco are 3rd on 36 (in the top four). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Aurora – form over the last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Antigua GFC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.
Mixco – form over the last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 13 Sep 2026, finished Mixco 3–2 Aurora. Across the last 2 meetings Aurora have won 0s, Mixco 1, with 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Aurora 1.9 – 1.0 Mixco in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 54% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Aurora 60% · draw 20% · Mixco 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Aurora to win at 1.92 – we make it 60%, the price implies 52%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Aurora 1–1 Mixco. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Aurora60%fair 1.67 · @1.92
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Mixco20%fair 4.94 · @3.35
2.91Expected goals
1.92Aurora xG
1.00Mixco xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.9 – 1.0 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Aurora vs Mixco?
On our numbers Aurora have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mixco 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Mixco?
Aurora vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
