Wed 11 Nov

Antigua GFC v Malacateco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Pensativo
2–0
FT
Antigua GFC 68%Draw 21%Malacateco 11% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.69
68%
ZoraTips pick

Antigua GFC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Antigua GFC vs Malacateco prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Liga Nacional action on Monday 9 November: Antigua GFC take on Malacateco at Estadio Pensativo from 01:00 WAT. Antigua GFC sit 5th with 34 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Malacateco are 10th on 22 (in the bottom three). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Antigua GFC – form over the last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Aurora 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Malacateco – form over the last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Suchitepéquez 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Antigua GFC have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Sep 2026, finished Malacateco 0–2 Antigua GFC. Across the last 3 meetings Antigua GFC have won 2s, Malacateco 0, with 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.7 Malacateco in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Antigua GFC 68% · draw 21% · Malacateco 11%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – we make it 55%, the price implies 52%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Antigua GFC to win, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Antigua GFC 1–0 Malacateco. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Antigua GFC68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.74
Malacateco11%fair 8.83 · @6.77
2.68Expected goals
1.99Antigua GFC xG
0.69Malacateco xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.7 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAntigua GFC to win ✓68%1.481.44
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓89%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.93 ▲
Draw no betAntigua GFC (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapAntigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.08
First team to scoreAntigua GFC to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultAntigua GFC ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

Antigua GFC – last 6

WWLWDW
1 Nov@ Aurora2–0W
30 Octvs Deportivo San Pedro1–0W
25 Oct@ Comunicaciones0–1L
20 Octvs Xelajú3–0W
15 Oct@ Guastatoya1–1D
12 Octvs Cobán Imperial2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malacateco – last 6

LLDWLW
3 Nov@ Suchitepéquez0–1L
29 Octvs Aurora0–2L
25 Oct@ Deportivo San Pedro2–2D
21 Octvs Comunicaciones1–0W
15 Oct@ Xelajú1–2L
11 Octvs Guastatoya2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Sep 2026Malacateco v Antigua GFC0–2
20 Apr 2026Antigua GFC v Malacateco2–1
1 Mar 2026Malacateco v Antigua GFC2–2
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Our pick is Antigua GFC to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malacateco 11%.

How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Antigua GFC vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.