Union St. Gilloise 66%Draw 22%Genk 12%Expected goals 2.30 – 0.94
66%
ZoraTips pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Union St. Gilloise v Genk in the Jupiler Pro League – Sunday 8 November, 18:30 WAT, Stade Joseph Marien. Union St. Gilloise sit 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Genk are 7th on 15 (in the top half). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Celta Vigo 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. 2.8 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Genk – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to KV Mechelen 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Union St. Gilloise have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Union St. Gilloise 2.3 – 0.9 Genk in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Union St. Gilloise 66% · draw 22% · Genk 12%.
Safer play: Union St. Gilloise or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Union St. Gilloise to win, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Genk. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.90
Genk12%fair 8.25 · @5.00
3.24Expected goals
2.30Union St. Gilloise xG
0.94Genk xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.3 – 0.9 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Nov
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
31 Oct
@ SK Beveren
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge
5–2
W
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Genk – last 6
LWWWLL
31 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Excelsior Virton
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Kortrijk
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Genk.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genk 12%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Genk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
