Wed 11 Nov

Kelty Hearts v Stranraer: numbers & prediction

League Two · Scotland · New Central Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Kelty Hearts 34%Draw 20%Stranraer 45% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.64
63%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultStranraer to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.04

Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Kelty Hearts host Stranraer in the League Two on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at New Central Park. Kelty Hearts sit 5th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Stranraer are 1st on 27 (top of the table).

Form guide

Kelty Hearts – form over the last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Annan Athletic 2–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.

Stranraer – form over the last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Stirling Albion 3–0 at home. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Stranraer have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, finished Stranraer 2–0 Kelty Hearts.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Kelty Hearts 1.4 – 1.6 Stranraer in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 60% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Kelty Hearts 34% · draw 20% · Stranraer 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stranraer. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Kelty Hearts34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Stranraer45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
3.01Expected goals
1.38Kelty Hearts xG
1.64Stranraer xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 1.4 – 1.6 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStranraer to win45%2.202.00
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.57
Draw no betStranraer (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapKelty Hearts +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.20
First team to scoreStranraer to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stranraer / FT Stranraer26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.04–

Recent results

Kelty Hearts – last 6

WWLLWL
7 Nov@ Annan Athletic2–1W
3 Nov@ Morton1–0W
31 Octvs Elgin City0–1L
24 Oct@ Edinburgh City1–4L
17 Octvs Forfar Athletic2–1W
13 Oct@ East Kilbride1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stranraer – last 6

WDWWDW
7 Novvs Stirling Albion3–0W
31 Octvs Clyde0–0D
24 Octvs Tayport3–1W
17 Oct@ Spartans2–0W
13 Octvs Kilmarnock II3–3D
10 Oct@ Annan Athletic6–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Stranraer v Kelty Hearts2–0
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer13832+1927
2Clyde13832+1027
3Elgin City13634+921
4Spartans13535+218
5Kelty Hearts13607-518
6Dumbarton13517-516
7Edinburgh City13553+315
8Stirling Albion13436-1015
9Forfar Athletic13337-1112
10Annan Athletic133010-129

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stranraer 45%.

How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.