Wed 11 Nov

Ayr Utd v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Somerset Park

Ayr Utd

LWWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Ayr Utd 32%Draw 21%Raith Rovers 47% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.39
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.31

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Ayr Utd v Raith Rovers in the Championship – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, Somerset Park. Ayr Utd sit 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Raith Rovers are 2nd on 25 (in the top four).

Form guide

Ayr Utd – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Arbroath 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.

Raith Rovers – form over the last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Dunfermline 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished Raith Rovers 2–0 Ayr Utd. Across the last 2 meetings Ayr Utd have won 0s, Raith Rovers 2, with 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ayr Utd 1.1 – 1.4 Raith Rovers in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ayr Utd 32% · draw 21% · Raith Rovers 47%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 1–1 Raith Rovers. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ayr Utd32%fair 3.16 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Raith Rovers47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
2.46Expected goals
1.06Ayr Utd xG
1.39Raith Rovers xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.1 – 1.4 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win47%2.122.15
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.801.80
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapAyr Utd +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.10
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.31–

Recent results

Ayr Utd – last 6

LWWLDW
7 Nov@ Arbroath1–4L
3 Nov@ Annan Athletic2–0W
31 Octvs Queen's Park3–2W
16 Octvs Partick0–1L
10 Octvs Dunfermline1–1D
3 Oct@ Livingston2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

DDWLDW
6 Novvs Dunfermline0–0D
3 Nov@ Hamilton Academical1–1D
31 Oct@ Arbroath4–0W
24 Octvs Inverness CT0–2L
17 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–1D
10 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Raith Rovers v Ayr Utd2–0
27 Mar 2026Raith Rovers v Ayr Utd3–0
Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Raith Rovers 47%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.