Thu 12 Nov

ST Johnstone v Dundee: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · McDiarmid Park
2–1
FT

Dundee

WLDWW
ST Johnstone 37%Draw 21%Dundee 42% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.46
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDundee to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

ST Johnstone host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at McDiarmid Park. ST Johnstone sit 7th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dundee are 5th on 17 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

ST Johnstone – form over the last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Kilmarnock 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Dundee – form over the last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Dundee have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Sep 2026, finished Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone.

Goals outlook

Our model projects ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.5 Dundee in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 63% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: ST Johnstone 37% · draw 21% · Dundee 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Dundee to win at 2.70 – we make it 42%, the price implies 37%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

ST Johnstone37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Dundee42%fair 2.41 · @2.70
2.83Expected goals
1.37ST Johnstone xG
1.46Dundee xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.5 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundee to win ✗42%2.412.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.62
Draw no betDundee (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapST Johnstone +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.17
First team to scoreDundee to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundee / FT Dundee ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

ST Johnstone – last 6

DDLDWD
31 Oct@ Kilmarnock2–2D
28 Octvs Motherwell2–2D
24 Oct@ Rangers0–4L
17 Octvs Dundee Utd1–1D
11 Oct@ Aberdeen1–0W
19 Sepvs Falkirk1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dundee – last 6

WLDWWL
28 Octvs Kilmarnock3–1W
24 Oct@ ST Mirren1–2L
17 Octvs Rangers2–2D
10 Oct@ Falkirk2–1W
19 Sepvs Motherwell2–1W
6 Sep@ Heart Of Midlothian1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Dundee v ST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone vs Dundee head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundee 42%.

How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

ST Johnstone vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.