Wed 11 Nov

Sagamihara v Kagoshima United: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Sagamihara Gion Stadium
1–0
FT
Sagamihara 16%Draw 24%Kagoshima United 60% Expected goals 0.91 – 1.92
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗60% · @1.72
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✗84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Sagamihara v Kagoshima United in the J3 League – Sunday 8 November, 06:00 WAT, Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Sagamihara sit 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Kagoshima United are 4th on 31 (in the top four). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Sagamihara – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Gainare Tottori 1–0 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Kagoshima United – form over the last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Sagamihara have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sagamihara 0.9 – 1.9 Kagoshima United in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sagamihara 16% · draw 24% · Kagoshima United 60%.
  • Safer play: Kagoshima United or draw (84%) at 1.16.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.68.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Sagamihara 0–2 Kagoshima United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sagamihara16%fair 6.32 · @3.86
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.54
Kagoshima United60%fair 1.67 · @1.72
2.83Expected goals
0.91Sagamihara xG
1.92Kagoshima United xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Sagamihara 0.9 – 1.9 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗60%1.671.72
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✗84%1.191.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.68
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapKagoshima United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.10
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultKagoshima United ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Sagamihara – last 6

WWDLWW
3 Nov@ Gainare Tottori1–0W
31 Oct@ Kochi United3–1W
24 Octvs Tochigi SC0–0D
21 Oct@ FC Gifu1–2L
18 Oct@ Biwako Shiga2–0W
9 Octvs Kamatamare Sanuki3–2W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 6

DDLWWL
3 Nov@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–1D
31 Octvs Roasso Kumamoto1–1D
24 Oct@ Osaka1–2L
21 Octvs Kochi United3–1W
17 Octvs Ehime FC4–2W
11 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Kagoshima United.

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Sagamihara have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kagoshima United 60%.

How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Sagamihara 0–2 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.