Wed 11 Nov

Osaka v Roasso Kumamoto: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Hanazono Rugby Stadium

Osaka

LWWLD
2–1
FT
Osaka 41%Draw 21%Roasso Kumamoto 38% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.22
72%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.32Odds
2

Value bet: Roasso Kumamoto to win @ 3.24 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOsaka to win ✓41% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.18

Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Osaka v Roasso Kumamoto in the J3 League – Wednesday 4 November, 06:00 WAT, Hanazono Rugby Stadium. Osaka sit 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Roasso Kumamoto are 8th on 24 (in the top half).

Form guide

Osaka – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Roasso Kumamoto – form over the last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Kagoshima United 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Roasso Kumamoto have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Osaka 1.3 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Osaka 41% · draw 21% · Roasso Kumamoto 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.63.
  • Value angle: Roasso Kumamoto to win at 3.24 – we make it 38%, the price implies 31%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Osaka 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Osaka41%fair 2.44 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Roasso Kumamoto38%fair 2.63 · @3.24
2.50Expected goals
1.28Osaka xG
1.22Roasso Kumamoto xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Osaka 1.3 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOsaka to win ✓41%2.441.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.63
Draw no betOsaka (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapRoasso Kumamoto +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.92
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.08
First team to scoreOsaka to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Osaka / FT Osaka ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.18–

Recent results

Osaka – last 6

LWWLDL
31 Oct@ FC Gifu0–1L
24 Octvs Kagoshima United2–1W
21 Octvs Nara Club2–0W
17 Oct@ Kitakyushu1–3L
9 Octvs Kanazawa1–1D
3 Oct@ Sagamihara0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

DWWWLD
31 Oct@ Kagoshima United1–1D
25 Octvs FC Gifu2–1W
21 Octvs Gainare Tottori3–0W
18 Oct@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
11 Octvs Ehime FC0–2L
2 Oct@ Biwako Shiga0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Osaka and Roasso Kumamoto.

Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On our numbers Osaka have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Roasso Kumamoto 38%.

How many goals will there be in Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our predicted score is Osaka 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.