Wed 11 Nov

FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Thermoplan Arena
2–3
FT
FC Luzern 21%Draw 21%BSC Young Boys 59% Expected goals 1.57 – 2.61
79%
ZoraTips pick

BSC Young Boys or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: BSC Young Boys to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBSC Young Boys to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceBSC Young Boys or draw ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.20

FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Super League action on Saturday 7 November: FC Luzern take on BSC Young Boys at Thermoplan Arena from 18:00 WAT. FC Luzern sit 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while BSC Young Boys are 2nd on 28 (in the top four). A 15-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

FC Luzern – form over the last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with FC Sion 1–1 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 2.0 per game.

BSC Young Boys – form over the last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to FC Zurich 3–5 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.8 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, BSC Young Boys have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, finished BSC Young Boys 3–3 FC Luzern. Across the last 2 meetings FC Luzern have won 0s, BSC Young Boys 1, with 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC Luzern 1.6 – 2.6 BSC Young Boys in expected goals – roughly 4.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 77% for over 2.5 goals, 72% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC Luzern 21% · draw 21% · BSC Young Boys 59%.
  • Safer play: BSC Young Boys or draw (79%) at 1.28.
  • Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.28.
  • Value angle: BSC Young Boys to win at 1.85 – we make it 59%, the price implies 54%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked BSC Young Boys or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: FC Luzern 1–2 BSC Young Boys. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC Luzern21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.33
BSC Young Boys59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
4.17Expected goals
1.57FC Luzern xG
2.61BSC Young Boys xG
72%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: FC Luzern 1.6 – 2.6 BSC Young Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBSC Young Boys to win ✓59%1.701.85 ▲
Double chanceBSC Young Boys or draw ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.401.28
Draw no betBSC Young Boys (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapFC Luzern +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗60%1.661.53
First team to scoreBSC Young Boys to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultBSC Young Boys ahead at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT BSC Young Boys / FT BSC Young Boys ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.20–

Recent results

FC Luzern – last 6

DLWLLW
31 Octvs FC Sion1–1D
24 Oct@ FC Zurich1–2L
17 Oct@ FC Winterthur1–0W
10 Oct@ FC Lugano0–4L
3 Oct@ SC Freiburg2–4L
19 Sepvs Grasshoppers5–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

BSC Young Boys – last 6

LWWWWW
1 Novvs FC Zurich3–5L
24 Octvs FC ST. Gallen2–0W
18 Oct@ Taverne5–0W
11 Oct@ Grasshoppers2–0W
2 Oct@ FC Aarau2–1W
19 Sepvs Servette FC3–2W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026BSC Young Boys v FC Luzern3–3
4 Mar 2026FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys1–2
FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys?

Our pick is BSC Young Boys or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys?

On our numbers FC Luzern have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BSC Young Boys 59%.

How many goals will there be in FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys?

Our predicted score is FC Luzern 1–2 BSC Young Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys?

FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thermoplan Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.